Allan Lichtman, an American University Professor, whose election formula has successfully picked the last 7 presidential races correctly is predicting a win for President Obama this November noting “Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” says Lichtman, the brains behind The Keys to the White House. Professor Lichtman has successfully picked ever winner beginning with Reagan’s re-election bid of 1984.
The Keys to the White House a 1996 book about a historically based 13 key prediction system for determining the next President of the United States. The keys are based on the theory that presidential election results depend on the performance of the party controlling the White House and not the campaign strategies implemented by the challenging party. Accordingly, the electorate vote based on the economy, foreign policy success, policy innovation, scandal, and the like.
In essence, the keys test the performance of the party that holds the presidency. If six or more of the 13 keys go against the party in power, then the opposing party wins.“The keys have figured into popular politics a bit,” Lichtman says. “They’ve never missed. They’ve been right seven elections in a row. A number that goes way beyond statistical significance in a record no other system even comes close to.”
Professor Lichtman is predicting win this year for President Obama and below are each of the keys and how they fall for Obama.